Yeah, i know :-S
I can't help you with the fpcup issue as i simply don't use it. I build my stuff from trunk manually.
One thing i did notice though is that fpcup reports fpc 2.6.2 as being the starting compiler, which seems a bit odd to me if i assume you have 2.6.4 installed (some remnants from old installation left?).
You are more than welcome to wait for fpcup maintainer to respond, otherwise i would suggest (to learn to) upgrading manually as that leaves you in control.
FPC always requires the previous major release to be used to be able to compile a newer compiler. So, in case you are coming from 2.6.2 you would first need to create the 2.6.4 compiler, with that you are able to compile the 3.0 compiler which in itself is required to be able to compile the 3.1.1. compiler from trunk (fun, isn't it ;-) )
Even if you don't want to do it manually, it is a very good exercise. If you create a zipinstall for at least the 3.0 compiler then you'll never have to do it manually again (given that you stored those results somewhere save).